September 19, 2008

The SKY has fallen

What an interesting week this has been. This week will go down in history as either a turning point toward economic recovery or the beginning of depression part II. While it is too early to know, history tells us when the government gets involved, it does not always end up well in the long run. Our take is more large companies will fail and we have not seen the end of this mess just yet. Don't be fool by this sucker's rally. All the government is trying to do is lure investors back in without a real concrete plan. Sure, they can print more money and add it to the national debt..heck what's another few hundred billion tacked on to an already insurmountable deficit. Keep your money in money markets, you'll sleep better at night under this current market condition.

May 30, 2008

Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) on a roll!

5-30-08: In today’s current market condition, there are very few places to hide. It seem no matter where you decide to invest, you will likely be impacted by the high price of oil. As we have mentioned before, oil make this economy run as many aspects of our lives are tied to crude price.  It all starts with the price of gasoline which trickles down to things like food. All of the sudden, your dollar doesn’t go very far. In the face of economic uncertainly, there are some companies which remains to benefit.  Two companies we like, Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA). In our view, these two companies will continue to grow and benefit despite the dismal macro economic picture.

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May 03, 2008

Microsoft-Yahoo: Not to be, microsoft abandons bid, walks

5-3-08:  After three months of haggling, the Microsoft and Yahoo saga finally came to an end with Microsoft opting to walk. Microsoft was willing to pay $33, but Yahoo wanted $37.  You would think they could simply decide to go with $35 and call it a deal, but we’re talking about a lot of big egos here. While we don’t know what actually caused the negotiation to fall through, the biggest concern for most is what will happen to their stock price when the market opens.

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April 23, 2008

Hig Gas Price: Consider Toyota (TM) and Honda (HMC)

4-23-08: As gas price approaches $4 per gallon, everyone is hurting. Some folks have turned to politicians in the hope of some magic solution. To the dismay of some folks, there is little that can be done in terms of legislation. We are at the mercy of the market.  It doesn’t matter who is in office, being a Democrat or Republican, they won’t be able to lower our gas price.  This is the hard truth, we should just get used to it.

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April 09, 2008

Yahoo! (YHOO) struggle for freedom

04-09-2008:  The Microsoft/Yahoo saga continues to get more interesting by the day. One thing is for sure, something is going to happen in the next few weeks. After scouring the net, it appears most analysts believes Yahoo is just employing a delay tactic to get Microsoft to increase its bid by cuddling up with Google (Yahoo to test out Google adsense). While this might be the ultimate goal of Yahoo, we believed there is more to it than meets the eyes. Although there have been no other bidders, we do believe Yahoo does have viable alternatives.

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April 05, 2008

Microsoft and Yahoo: Let's get it on!

04-05-2008:  The Microsoft (MSFT) and Yahoo! (YHOO) saga continues to get interesting. This morning, hot headed Steve Ballmer got up on the wrong side of bed and decided to exercise his wide mouth. In today’s letter to Yahoo! Board of Directors, Ballmer’s tone got even more hostile. Microsoft is now officially threatening a proxy battle if Yahoo fails to engage in a formal negotiation in three weeks. For some reason this reminds us of when George Bush gave the ultimatum to Saddam Hussein in 2003 (we all know where that has gotten us).  Microsoft is at it again, doing what it does best in these situations, blowing smoke and using scare tactics to gets its way.

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April 04, 2008

Recession: Time to play defense

04-04-08:  Everywhere you turn around; it seems everyone is trying to save this economy. Politicians are scrambling to put forth a plan, any plan.  The truth of the matter is there is little the government can do.  We believed the current environment is just part of the business cycle. We’ve been steadily growing the last 5 years; it’s time things slow down.  The latest evidence that recession is upon us; employers fired 80,000 people in March. The real number is probably higher when it is adjusted later this month.  The actual number might be over 100,000.  This of course leads to a common question everyone is asking these days.  In a time where the future looks bleak, where can one find some haven?

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April 01, 2008

South America: The next big growth

4-01-2008: With the U.S economy is in the tank, where can one look to invest? Some would suggest the usual suspects such as China or India, but these two countries appear to be tapped out.  Don’t get us wrong, there are still plenty of opportunities, but you won’t find the same level of return. Instead of only looking at the Far East, our research suggests South America could be the next area of growth.  We have narrowed it down to Brazil.

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